Tuesday, May 29, 2012

Maybe I am too eager to believe it, and...

..I expect to be smote down for saying it, but I think the two month old, mediocre, Case-Shiller number that came out today is consistent with the idea that the housing market will really come back big this year (I said so in the paper and on the radio today, so I might as well say it here).

Inventories in many hard hit markets are now low by historical standards.  Time on market has fallen.  HARP II can accelerate amortization (which is its most important feature).  Prices are really cheap, both when the user cost they produce is compared with rent, and when compared with incomes (by World standards).

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